Durability Score Methodology

How IronOS measures strength retention as you age.

How it works

Your Durability Score measures how well you’re holding onto your strength as you age. A score of 100 means you’re right on track. Above 100 means you’re beating the curve. Built entirely from your normal working sets -- no 1RM testing needed.

Each tracked lift goes through five steps:

  1. Collect qualifying sets. Any working set of 1-6 reps with weight logged feeds the score.
  2. Estimate 1RM. When you log RPE (6-10), the app uses RPE-adjusted Epley to account for reps in reserve. Without RPE, standard Epley is used.
  3. 28-day aggregation. The best estimated 1RM from the last 28 days becomes your current number.
  4. DOTS normalization. Adjusts for bodyweight so lifters of different sizes are compared fairly.
  5. Compare against baseline. Your baseline is whichever is higher: your personal peak or an age-specific strength standard.

baseline = max(personal_peak, age_standard)

age_decay = McCulloch(peak_age) / McCulloch(current_age)

score = (current_DOTS / (baseline_DOTS x age_decay)) x 100

The composite score is the geometric mean across all tracked lifts, so one strong lift can’t mask a weak one.

Two scoring paths

Below the standard (still building)

Your baseline is the age-specific standard. Since the standard already accounts for your age, no additional age decay is applied. Your score simply reflects how close you are to what a consistent recreational lifter your age and size should be able to lift. Once you exceed the standard, it drops out automatically.

Above the standard (retaining)

Your baseline flips to your personal peak. IPF Masters (McCulloch) coefficients model expected strength decline from that peak -- about 1% per year in your 40s, accelerating into your 60s and beyond. A score of 100 means you’re tracking the expected curve. Above 100 means you’re outperforming it.

Tracked lifts and fallbacks

The Durability Score is built around the four competition powerlifts, which have the deepest normative data and are the most reliable indicators of overall strength retention. You choose which lifts to track in settings.

Squat

Ideal: Low bar squat or back squat. These match the competition movement the standards are derived from.

Fallbacks (in priority order): high bar squat, front squat. Front squat typically produces a lower e1RM than back squat, so your score may read lower than it would with competition-style squats.

Bench press

Ideal: Flat barbell bench press or paused bench press. These directly match the IPF competition lift.

Fallbacks: incline barbell bench press, cambered bar bench press. Incline pressing produces a significantly lower e1RM (typically 15-25% less than flat bench), so the score will underestimate your true flat bench strength.

Deadlift

Ideal: Conventional or sumo deadlift. Both are contested in competition and produce comparable e1RMs.

Fallbacks: RDL, rack pull. RDLs are typically limited by grip and back position rather than full-range strength, producing lower e1RMs. Rack pulls can overestimate deadlift strength due to the shortened range of motion. Both are compromises.

Overhead press

Ideal:Standing overhead press (strict). OHP is not contested in powerlifting, so no competition data exists. Standards are extrapolated from bench press using a 0.68x ratio for males and 0.85x for females. These ratios are derived from the intermediate press standards published in Rippetoe & Kilgore’s Practical Programming for Strength Training (2009): 0.75x BW for males and 0.50x BW for females. Dividing by our age-30 bench standards (1.10x male, 0.60x female) yields the 0.68 and 0.85 multipliers. While grounded in published standards, OHP scores carry less statistical rigor than the three competition lifts because the underlying data is coach-reported rather than competition-verified.

Fallbacks: seated overhead press. Seated pressing removes lower body stabilization, which can slightly change the e1RM relative to standing. Combined with the extrapolated standard, the OHP score is the least precise of the four tracked lifts.

The system automatically falls back to the highest-priority alternative if your tracked lift has no logged data. For example, if you track “low bar squat” but only log front squats, the score will use your front squat data. The score is still meaningful, but it’s measuring a different movement -- your true squat retention may be higher than reported.

For the most accurate score, train and log at least one of the ideal variations for each tracked lift. The competition movements have the most research behind them and produce the most comparable e1RM estimates.

Age-specific strength standards

Standards are set at 90% of the 10th percentile (lowest 10%) of drug-tested competitive powerlifters in each age group, sourced from the OpenPowerlifting dataset -- 2.3 million competition entries, filtered to tested federations and raw/wraps equipment only.

The 10th percentile represents the weakest competitors in tested powerlifting. We take 90% of that as a conservative floor representing roughly 1-2 years of consistent recreational training. Because the data is broken down by year of age, the standard naturally reflects what’s achievable at each age without needing a synthetic age-adjustment formula.

Values are expressed as a multiple of bodyweight. Raw per-year 10th percentiles are smoothed with a 3-year rolling average to reduce noise, then multiplied by 0.9.

Male standards (BW ratio)

AgeSquatBenchDeadlift
181.45x0.97x1.72x
191.52x1.02x1.79x
201.57x1.06x1.84x
211.59x1.09x1.87x
221.61x1.10x1.88x
231.60x1.10x1.87x
241.59x1.10x1.86x
251.58x1.10x1.84x
261.58x1.10x1.84x
271.57x1.11x1.82x
281.55x1.10x1.81x
291.53x1.10x1.79x
301.52x1.10x1.77x
311.52x1.10x1.76x
321.51x1.10x1.75x
331.51x1.10x1.75x
341.49x1.09x1.73x
351.48x1.09x1.71x
361.46x1.09x1.69x
371.44x1.08x1.68x
381.42x1.08x1.66x
391.41x1.07x1.65x
401.41x1.07x1.64x
411.41x1.07x1.64x
421.41x1.07x1.65x
431.39x1.07x1.62x
441.38x1.06x1.59x
451.36x1.04x1.58x
461.36x1.04x1.59x
471.33x1.03x1.56x
AgeSquatBenchDeadlift
481.32x1.02x1.54x
491.31x1.01x1.53x
501.31x1.01x1.53x
511.29x1.00x1.52x
521.26x1.00x1.53x
531.25x0.99x1.54x
541.24x0.98x1.55x
551.24x0.97x1.53x
561.20x0.95x1.52x
571.18x0.93x1.48x
581.14x0.92x1.44x
591.11x0.90x1.39x
601.07x0.89x1.38x
611.03x0.87x1.34x
621.02x0.85x1.35x
631.02x0.84x1.35x
641.02x0.83x1.35x
651.00x0.82x1.34x
660.97x0.82x1.32x
670.97x0.81x1.32x
680.95x0.80x1.31x
690.91x0.77x1.28x
700.89x0.76x1.25x
710.88x0.73x1.23x
720.88x0.74x1.23x
730.83x0.73x1.22x
740.79x0.72x1.18x
750.73x0.70x1.14x
760.73x0.67x1.14x
770.74x0.66x1.14x

Female standards (BW ratio)

AgeSquatBenchDeadlift
181.02x0.56x1.25x
191.06x0.58x1.31x
201.11x0.61x1.35x
211.14x0.62x1.38x
221.16x0.63x1.39x
231.15x0.63x1.38x
241.13x0.62x1.37x
251.12x0.62x1.36x
261.12x0.61x1.36x
271.11x0.61x1.35x
281.09x0.61x1.34x
291.07x0.61x1.32x
301.06x0.60x1.31x
311.06x0.60x1.29x
321.05x0.60x1.29x
331.03x0.60x1.28x
341.01x0.60x1.27x
351.00x0.59x1.26x
360.99x0.59x1.25x
370.98x0.59x1.26x
380.97x0.58x1.25x
390.97x0.58x1.24x
400.96x0.57x1.21x
410.97x0.57x1.21x
420.96x0.57x1.20x
430.94x0.57x1.19x
440.92x0.57x1.18x
450.92x0.57x1.20x
460.91x0.57x1.20x
AgeSquatBenchDeadlift
470.90x0.56x1.19x
480.88x0.56x1.18x
490.86x0.56x1.18x
500.85x0.55x1.18x
510.84x0.54x1.16x
520.83x0.53x1.15x
530.81x0.52x1.12x
540.82x0.52x1.13x
550.79x0.51x1.12x
560.78x0.50x1.12x
570.75x0.49x1.09x
580.72x0.48x1.08x
590.72x0.48x1.08x
600.69x0.47x1.06x
610.68x0.46x1.02x
620.67x0.45x1.01x
630.68x0.45x1.00x
640.67x0.46x1.03x
650.65x0.46x1.04x
660.64x0.45x1.01x
670.60x0.43x0.96x
680.59x0.41x0.90x
690.56x0.40x0.91x
700.55x0.40x0.93x
710.52x0.40x0.93x
720.54x0.41x0.96x
730.56x0.43x0.96x
740.55x0.43x0.98x
750.54x0.41x0.99x

Example: 160 lb male, age 67

Squat

0.97x BW = 155 lbs

Bench

0.81x BW = 130 lbs

Deadlift

1.32x BW = 211 lbs

Overhead press is not contested in powerlifting. OHP standards are extrapolated from the bench press standard using a 0.68x ratio for males and 0.85x for females. These ratios are derived from the intermediate press standards in Rippetoe & Kilgore’s Practical Programming for Strength Training (2009): 0.75x BW for males and 0.50x BW for females, divided by our age-30 bench standards (1.10x and 0.60x respectively).

Age decline model (McCulloch coefficients)

Once your personal peak exceeds the standard, the score tracks how well you’re retaining that peak. Expected decline is modeled using IPF Masters (McCulloch) coefficients -- the official handicap system used in Masters-division powerlifting to equalize results across age groups.

AgeCoefficientExpected retention
< 401.000100%
401.000100.0%
451.05095.2%
501.10790.3%
551.17685.0%
601.26679.0%
651.38272.4%
701.54064.9%
751.75357.0%
802.04348.9%

A coefficient of 1.440 at age 67 means a competitive lifter at that age is expected to lift about 69% of what they could at their peak. These coefficients only apply to the peak retention path -- they are not used when comparing against the age-specific standard.

DOTS normalization

DOTS (2024 revision by Haleczko) converts a raw lift into a bodyweight-independent score, allowing fair comparison across weight classes. Both your current lift and baseline are DOTS-normalized before computing the ratio, so changes in bodyweight don’t artificially inflate or deflate your score.

Input data

Any working set of 1-6 reps with weight logged qualifies. When RPE is logged (6-10), the formula adjusts for reps in reserve:

adjusted_reps = reps + (10 - RPE)

e1RM = weight x (1 + adjusted_reps / 30)

Without RPE (common with imported data), standard Epley is used. This slightly underestimates true 1RM, but because both current and peak are underestimated equally, the ratio holds.

Sets outside 1-6 reps and warmup sets are excluded. If no qualifying set is logged for 60+ days, that lift’s score pauses until you log again.

Limitations

This is a theoretical model. Individual variation in proportions, training history, and genetics means these baselines are approximations. The score is most meaningful as a personal tracking tool over time, not as a comparison between athletes.

The OpenPowerlifting data reflects competitive lifters -- even the 10th percentile represents people who chose to compete. The 90% discount partially accounts for the gap between competitors and recreational lifters, but it’s an approximation.

Sample sizes decrease at older ages, so standards above 75 are less statistically robust. Per-year data is smoothed with a 3-year rolling average to mitigate this.

References

  1. Epley, B. (1985). Poundage chart. Boyd Epley Workout. University of Nebraska Press.
  2. Haleczko, A. (2024). DOTS formula. International Powerlifting Federation.
  3. McCulloch, R. IPF Masters age coefficients. International Powerlifting Federation.
  4. OpenPowerlifting project. 2.3M drug-tested, raw/wraps competition entries.
  5. Rippetoe, M. & Kilgore, L. (2009). Practical Programming for Strength Training, 2nd ed. The Aasgaard Company. Intermediate press standards used for OHP extrapolation.
  6. Zourdos, M.C., et al. (2016). Novel resistance training-specific RPE scale. J Strength Cond Res, 30(1), 267-275.